The news filtering out of the Congo is that General Bosco Ntaganda is in the process of deposing General Laurent Nkunda as the leader of the CNDP.(1) Apparently, the efforts to replace Nkunda are because of his “bad governance”.(2) Well, whatever that means, it doesn’t mean that, if he is replaced, he has been held to account for killing civilians. Ntaganda who is the chief of staff for the CNDP, is accused of war crimes and enlisting children under the age of fifteen and the ICC have a warrent out for his arrest.(3) The coup, should it happen, shows that very little value is attached to loyalty in this region, with Nkunda having rejected calls from the ICC to deliver Ntaganda to the authorities, saying that the ICC should first provide the CNDP with proof of his (Ntaganda) guilt.(4)
More importantly, one would have to suspect that Kagame would be behind any move to replace Nkunda and the evidence would appear to suggest that with Ntaganda in charge the people of North Kivu have little reason to rejoice. On the contrary, such a move would suggest that things could become deadly serious in that part of the world and “deadly” is the appropriate adjective here. Moreover, such a move on Kagame’s part would send a signal to Kabila in Kinshasa that it is time for him to negotiate. Of course, Kabila’s cancelling his $9 billion contract with the Chinese will continue to be a precondition for negotiation.(5) No doubt, the grey eminence, from Langley, Virginia has been very busy during the last few weeks.
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