History repeats itself; the Guardian reports: “The Greek president has summoned the leaders of the country’s three largest parties to a meeting on Sunday in a final attempt to forge a unity government and avoid another election.” However, that might not be the full story even if the report then goes on to point out that he will also be meeting with the leaders of the “fringe parties” and in the Greek press we can read that after meeting New Democracy’s Antonis Samaras, SYRIZA’s Alexis Tsipras and PASOK’s Evangelos Venizelos, he will then have separate meetings with the leaders of the other four parties in the new Parliament, Panos Kammenos of Independent Greeks, Aleka Papariga of the Communist Party, Nikos Michaloliakos of Golden Dawn and, Fotis Kouvelis of the Democratic Left.
Of course, they will be working hard on a coalition of sorts and one that will accept the austerity cuts, but the mathematics really don’t add up. Therefore, what about this for a scenario? The Greek president offers Nikos Michaloliakos the leadership of the country in coalition with Greece’s far right parties and we have a mini-re-run of 1933. Fortunately, as tempting as that scenario might be for the Greek right, not only is Karolos Papoulias no Hidenburg and Michaloliakos no Hitler and his party no NSDAP, but also the maths don’t quite work there either. History repeats itself? Well, fortunately not quite yet and we can expect new elections in Greece and an increase in SYRIZA’s vote. However, while that might be no bad thing we might just also see an increase in Golden Dawn’s share of the vote too.
Nevertheless, whatever the potential increase in the fascist vote there is enough evidence to suggest that it is the far left who will be the main beneficiaries of a new election and it is that fact that should have us looking at an arrray of possible scenarios, of which, the most obvious, of course, is one where SYRIZA does get the chance to form a government which will reject austerity. That is when developments in Greece and elsewhere in Europe will become very interesting.